CFTC COT | July 02, 2010

July 02, 2010

Please find attached stats and charts detailing the latest CFTC report’s data regarding non-commercial and money manager positions in WTI , natural gas, heating oil, and RBOB . Non-commercial net longs in WTI declined 11.5k in futures only and 14.8k in futures and options combined, as traders reduced long positions while increasing shorts (aggregating futures and swaps). At 129k (fut, swaps, and options), the non-commercial net long position is at its lowest point since Sep09. Non-commer.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | July 01, 2010

+60 bcf

EIA NG STORAGE REPORT The EIA reported a slightly bullish +60 bcf natural gas inventory build for the week ending June 25. But the number could struggle to support prices in the face of some bleak economic data from earlier today, especially with cash prices likely to drop ahead of a holiday weekend. The build came in below market consensus (Bloomberg survey median +65 bcf), the year-ago +73 bcf build, and the five-year average +82 bcf build. The net injection was dragged down by very ho.....


CFTC COT | June 25, 2010

June 25, 2010

Please find attached stats and charts detailing non-commercial net long positions for WTI , natural gas, heating oil, and RBOB as indicated by the CFTC’s Commitments of Traders report. Net longs in WTI fell -2.4k in futures only to 86k and -18k to 152k in futures and options combined ( NYMEX futures, NYMEX swaps, and ICE swaps), with slightly larger declines among money managers. Net length in natural gas declined as well, falling by 9.4k to 130k in futures and options combined ( NYM.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | June 24, 2010

+81 bcf

EIA NG STORAGE REPORT The EIA reported a natural gas inventory build of +81 bcf, in line with market expectations and smaller than last year’s +97 bcf build due to much warmer weather this year. The week’s injection dragged inventories into a slight yoy deficit (-14 bcf) for the first time since the beginning of April. At 2.62 tcf, however, inventories remain incredibly high for this time of year (+309 bcf vs. the prior 5yr avg, which includes last year’s record level). Heading into the .....


CFTC COT | June 18, 2010

June 18, 2010

Please find attached a summary detailing the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders Report. The PDF file includes stats and graphs regarding non-commercial net length for WTI crude oil, natural gas, RBOB , and heating oil for the week ending June 15. In WTI , non-commercial net length increased by 28.8k contracts to 88.4k in futures only and by 24.8k to 170.8k in futures and options combined (summing NYMEX futures and swaps with ICE swaps). Looking to the disaggregated data, money mana.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | June 17, 2010

+87 bcf

EIA NG STORAGE REPORT The EIA reported a +87 bcf natural gas inventory build for the week ending June 11. The build was essentially in line with the +84 bcf 5yr avg but well below last year’s +113 build, due primarily to very hot weather across the US during the reference week. We view this report as neutral to slightly bearish. The build came in toward the lower end of expectations (Bloomberg median +90 bcf) but above some pipeline-based models. In the end, we expect this week’s report .....


CFTC COT | June 11, 2010

June 11, 2010

Please find attached stats and charts detailing non-commercial positions in WTI , natural gas, heating oil, and RBOB , as indicated by this week’s CFTC Commitments of Traders report. The last page also summarizes inflows and outflows from commodity index funds. Non-commercial net long WTI positions dropped 12k to 60k in futures only, but fell only marginally by 3.5k to 146k in futures and options combined (aggregating NYMEX futures and swaps with ICE swaps). Money manager net longs i.....


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | June 10, 2010

+99 bcf

EIA NG STORAGE REPORT The EIA reported a net inventory build of +99 bcf for the week ending June 4, bringing total US storage to near 2.46 tcf. The build came in between last year’s +109 bcf injection and the +95 bcf 5yr average, but it’s hard to read much into this week’s report because of the Memorial Day holiday effect on demand. Nonetheless, the early onset of hot weather has clearly boosted power demand, which has likely conspired with coal-to-gas switching to quickly erode the yoy .....


CFTC COT | June 04, 2010

June 04, 2010

There was an error in “ WTI crude Non-commercial table” in the last report. Attached is the correct report. Sorry for any inconvenience! Please find attached stats and graphs detailing the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders report for WTI , natural gas, RBOB , and heating oil. There will be no commentary today. Regards,


EIA NG STORAGE REPORT | June 03, 2010

June 03, 2010

EIA NG STORAGE REPORT Attached is a summary of today’s EIA natural gas storage report. There will be no commentary today.